Bettors lose sportsbooks win thanks to Packers Bucs getting upset
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By FOX Sports Gambling WriterOne sure way for the bulk of bettors read: public/recreational bettors to have a bad Sunday is for a big favorite to lose outright. To that end, I give you the .After losing at as a near-double-digit favorite in Week 6, Tampa Bay went to as a 13-point chalk and managed only a field goal in a shocking 21-3 lo s.That outcome in the early slate of games pretty much guaranteed that sportsbooks would be winners in the NFL Week 7 odds market.What the Bucs?First, consider this: The Panthers on Thursday shipped their best player, , to the . Prior to that trade, the Bucs were already sitting at -11. By the time Sundays game kicked off, & Co. were consensus 13-point favorites.But all Tampa got was a measly fourth-quarter field goal."That was pretty big for us, yeah," South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews said in the understatement of the day. "We opened the game Bucs -11 and closed -13. There was a lot of action on that game. People were throwing the Bucs into their moneyline parlays like it was free money."Which was understandable. A moneyline parlay play meant that to keep the bet alive, Tampa Bay only had to win the game, not cover the nearly two-touchdown point spread, but the Bucs managed to do neither."The Panthers winning outright was a great outcome," WynnBet senior trader Chris Youn said.Tampa Bay was among the favorites in the Super Bowl odds market, preseason, and through the first few weeks. The Bucs now sit at 3-4 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS), failing to cover the number in their last five games.At FOX Bet, Bucs-Panthers betting was certainly interesting. Dylan Bro sman said on the moneyline, 85% of bets and about 85% of money landed on Tampa Bay Ameer Abdullah Jersey .Thats despite a moneyline in the range of -750, meaning it would take a $750 bet to win $100 if the Bucs won the game.On the spread, betting was significantly more balanced. Tampa Bay still had the edge, at 54% of bets and 59% of money, but 46% of bets and 41% of dollars landed on Carolina. Those Panthers backers easily cashed in a game where the spread never came into play.Pack Get Whacked and the can certainly relate to Brady and the Bucs. The Packers have lost three in a row SU and four in a row ATS, after Sundays 23-21 setback as 4-point favorites at .It was another gut punch for public bettors. In fact, WynnBet raved more about the Pack-Commanders outcome than the far-more-shocking Bucs-Panthers decision."The Commanders outright was excellent and pretty much made our day," Youn said.Meanwhile, at The SuperBook, a couple of teams that certainly saw public betting support actually provided good results behind the counter."We actually needed the , which was surprising. And the winning was our best result of the day," SuperBook senior risk supervisor Casey Degnon said.An hour before the Chiefs- showdown, SuperBook executive director John Murray said it appeared the book would need San Francisco, preferably outright, which makes sense, with money flowing to Kansas City every week in the NFL.But as sometimes happens, a couple of big bets can quickly change a games dynamic, as Murray noted moments before game time."Some pretty large bets came in late on San Francisco. Were rooting for K.C. here," he said.Kansas City pulled away in the second half, routing San Fran 44-23. And the Giants, 3-point underdogs at , notched a 23-17 victory.Shortchanged SharpsSharp bettors those who make a living betting on sports also took some lumps on Sunday. And though its rare for a sportsbook to see sharp money on one side overwhelm the public/recreational money on a more popular side, it happened Sunday Ben Ellefson Jersey at the South Point.As was the case mostly everywhere, the Giants were a trendy underdog play. But the South Point attracted consistent, sharp money almost up until kickoff by having the best odds on the Jaguars. All the oddsmakers were at Jaguars -3, but Andrews had the best price at -3, with a flat -110.Thats because Andrews policy is not to adjust that price. So he was either going to stay at -3 or go to -3.5. Others were at Jacksonville -3 (-115) or perhaps more."The Giants were really good for us. The public was on the Giants, but the wiseguy play of the week was the Jaguars," Andrews said. "The sharp play outweighed the public here. We were the only Jags -3 (-110) in town, and everybody played the Jags here."With the Jags losing outright, the South Point joined fellow Vegas shop The SuperBook in getting a win on that matchup.Public Cashes a CoupleAll the above is not to say that most bettors didnt get a couple of wins Sunday.Said WynnBets Youn: "The Chiefs and winning by double digits were our biggest losers."As noted above, K.C. rolled over the 49ers. Cincinnati also had little trouble in a 35-17 win over the Atlanta Falcons.Likewise, the 7-point home favorites vs. the pulling away for a 38-20 win was generally bad for Las Vegas books, with local bettors piling on the hometown team.Back to SchoolChecking in on college football Saturday, was a very trendy underdog at sportsbooks acro s the nation, getting 7 points. But the Bruins got bashed by 45-30."Oregon covering was a big winner for us. There were three times more UCLA spread tickets," WynnBets Youn said before noting another key game. "We lucked out a bit on winning and covering, as TCU was down most of the game, but pulled it out due to quarterback injuries for ."The Horned Frogs, 3.5-point favorites, trailed 28-17 at halftime but shut out K-State 21-0 in the second half for a 38-28 victory.Youn cited a couple of games that broke well for bettors, noting the outcomes "were sizable losers on the moneyline and spread" for WynnBet: (-5.5) thumping 45-17 (+2) topping host 19-14Degnon said The SuperBook was a small loser to Saturdays college football slate, pointing to a couple of key decisions." covering as a home dog against was a big loser for us," Degnon said. "So was covering against ."California was a 7.5-point underdog and stayed just inside that number, losing 28-21 to Washington. Oklahoma State was a 6.5-point home underdog and beat Texas outright, 41-34.I Like Big Bets and I Cannot LieThere was no shortage of major wager activity acro s the NFL and college football spectrum over the weekend. One Caesars Sports customer in Nevada absolutely unloaded, piling up $1 million in bets, on one short NFL favorite and a host of college underdogs:$220,000 on -2.5 vs. (win)$120,000 on +7 at (lo s)$110,000 on +7 vs. (lo s)$110,000 on +6 at (lo s)$110,000 on +14 at (win)$110,000 on +10 at (win)$110,000 on +10 at (win)$110,000 on +14.5 at (win)The bettors 5-3 record Fran Tarkenton Jersey was enough to scratch out a profit of $260,000.Id have been good with cashing out 260 bucks ahead this past weekend. But then again, Im only betting #ChilisMoney, not #BuyACoupleHousesMoney.Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. Hes based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas. NFL trending in this topic
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